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Predictors and Portfolios Over the Life Cycle
(2018-06-08)
In a calibrated consumption-portfolio model with stock, housing, and labor income predictability, we evaluate the welfare effects of predictability on life-cycle consumption-portfolio choice. We compare skilled investors ...
Putting the Pension Back in 401(k) Plans: Optimal versus Default Longevity Income Annuities
(2016-09-29)
Most defined contribution pension plans pay benefits as lump sums, yet the US Treasury has recently encouraged firms to protect retirees from outliving their assets by converting a portion of their plan balances into ...
The Impact of Biases in Survival Beliefs on Savings Behavior
(2017-03-24)
"On average young people ""undersave"" whereas old people ""oversave"" with respect to the rational expectations model of life-cycle consumption and savings. According to numerous studies on subjective survival beliefs, ...
How Persistent Low Expected Returns Alter Optimal Life Cycle Saving, Investment, and Retirement Behavior
(2017-06-23)
This Chapter explores how an environment of persistent low returns influences saving, investing, and retirement behaviors, as compared to what in the past had been thought of as more “normal” financial conditions. Our ...
Cognition, Optimism and the Formation of Age-Dependent Survival Beliefs
(2018-06-02)
This paper investigates the roles psychological biases play in deviations between subjective survival beliefs (SSBs) and objective survival probabilities (OSPs). We model deviations between SSBs and OSPs through age-dependent ...
Endogenous Retirement Behavior of Heterogeneous Households Under Pension Reforms
(2018-04-25)
We propose a unified framework to measure the effects of different reforms of the pension system on retirement ages and macroeconomic indicators in the face of demographic change. A rich overlapping generations (OLG) model ...
Pricing Sin Stocks: Ethical Preference vs. Risk Aversion
(2018-06-14)
We develop a model that reproduces the average return and volatility spread between sin and non-sin stocks. Our investors do not necessarily boycott sin companies. Rather, they are open to invest in any company while trading ...
Asset Pricing in OLG Economies With Borrowing Constraints and Idiosyncratic Income Risk
(2018-09-17)
This paper analyzes how the combination of borrowing constraints and idiosyncratic risk affects the equity premium in an overlapping generations economy. I find that introducing a zero-borrowing constraint in an economy ...
Implications of Money-Back Guarantees for Individual Retirement Accounts: Protection Then and Now
(2019-10-21)
In the wake of the financial crisis and continued volatility in international capital markets, there is growing interest in mechanisms that can protect people against retirement account volatility. This paper explores the ...
Time Preferences over the Life Cycle
(2020-02-01)
We study whether and how time preferences change over the life cycle, exploiting representative long-term panel data. We estimate the age patterns of discount rates from age 25 to 80. In order to identify age effects, we ...