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A Quasi Real-Time Leading Indicator for the EU Industrial Production
(2016-01-04)
We build a quasi real-time leading indicator (LI) for the EU industrial production (IP). Differently from previous studies, the technique developed in this paper gives rise to an ex-ante LI that is immune to “overlapping ...
The Intended and Unintended Consequences of Financial-Market Regulations: A General Equilibrium Analysis
(2016-01-25)
In a production economy with trade in financial markets motivated by the desire to share labor-income risk and to speculate, we show that speculation increases volatility of asset returns and investment growth, increases ...
Leaning Against the Wind: Debt Financing in the Face of Adversity
(2016-12-29)
We offer evidence of a new stylized feature of corporate financing decisions: the tendency of managers to rely more on debt financing when earnings prospects are poor. We term this 'leaning against the wind' and consider ...
Investment-Specific Shocks, Business Cycles, and Asset Prices
(2016-03-14)
We introduce long-run investment productivity risk in a two-sector production economy to explain the joint behavior of macroeconomic quantities and asset prices. Long-run productivity risk in both sectors, for which we ...
Commodities, Financialization, and Heterogeneous Agents
(2016-04-28)
The term 'financialization' describes the phenomenon that commodity contracts are traded for purely financial reasons and not for motives rooted in the real economy. Recently, financialization has been made responsible for ...
Optimal Consumption and Portfolio Choice with Loss Aversion
(2016-05-16)
This paper analyses the consumption-investment problem of a loss averse investor equipped with s-shaped utility over consumption relative to a time-varying reference level. Optimal consumption exceeds the reference level ...
Spoilt for Choice: Order Routing Decisions in Fragmented Equity Markets
(2016-08-01)
The equity trading landscape all over the world has changed dramatically in recent years. We have witnessed the advent of new trading venues and significant changes in the market shares of existing ones. We use an extensive ...
Low-Latency Trading and Price Discovery: Evidence from the Tokyo Stock Exchange in the Pre-Opening and Opening Periods
(2015-03-01)
We study whether the presence of low-latency traders (including high-frequency traders (HFTs)) in the pre-opening period contributes to market quality, defined by price discovery and liquidity provision, in the opening ...
How Has Sovereign Bond Market Liquidity Changed? - An Illiquidity Spillover Analysis
(2016-09-28)
Amid increasing regulation, structural changes of the market and Quantitative Easing as well as extremely low yields, concerns about the market liquidity of the Eurozone sovereign debt markets have been raised. We aim to ...
Systemic Co-Jumps
(2016-10-10)
The simultaneous occurrence of jumps in several stocks can be associated with major financial news, triggers short-term predictability in stock returns, is correlated with sudden spikes of the variance risk premium, and ...