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Revisiting the Narrative Approach of Estimating Tax Multipliers
(2015-03-01)
"A number of recent studies regress a ""narratively"" identified measure of a macroeconomic shock directly on an outcome variable. In this note, we argue that this approach can be viewed as the reduced-form regression of ...
Interbank Funding as Insurance Mechanism for (Persistent) Liquidity Shocks
(2015-11-01)
The interbank market is important for the efficient functioning of the financial system, transmission of monetary policy and therefore ultimately the real economy. In particular, it facilitates banks' liquidity management. ...
Belief Formation and Belief Updating under Ambiguity: Evidence from Experiments
(2019-09-21)
Decisions under ambiguity depend on both the belief regarding possible scenarios and the attitude towards ambiguity. This paper exclusively focuses on beliefs, measured independent from attitudes. We use laboratory experiments ...
Risk Pooling, Leverage, and the Business Cycle
(2020-02-25)
This paper studies the impact of financial sector size and leverage on business cycles and risk-free rates dynamics. We model a general equilibrium productive economy where financial intermediaries provide costly risk ...
The Economic Consequences of Algorithmic Discrimination: Theory and Empirical Evidence
(2020-12-09)
Using a novel theoretical framework and data from a comprehensive field study we conducted over a period of three years, we outline the causal effects of algorithmic discrimination on economic efficiency and social welfare ...
Recapitalization, Bailout, and Long-run Welfare in a Dynamic Model of Banking
(2021-03-01)
This paper studies the dynamic trade-off between the short-run costs and the long-run benefits of bank bailouts. In the model, banks leverage thanks to their cost advantage at monitoring firms, but hold precautionary capital ...
Separating the Effects of Beliefs and Attitudes on Pricing under Ambiguity
(2021-03-10)
The pricing of an ambiguous asset, whose cash flow stream is uncertain, may be affected by three factors: the belief regarding the realization likelihood of cash flows, the subjective attitude towards risk, and the attitude ...
Survey_ABHKP_2020
We base our analyses on a rich data set that we collected in an incenitivzed field study over a period of three years between 2016 and 2019. Specifically, at the beginning of each semester, we invited first-semester economics ...
OBR
The Office for Budget Responsibility was created in 2010 to provide independent and authoritative analysis of the UK’s public finances.
WEO
The World Economic Outlook (WEO) database is created during the biannual WEO exercise, which begins in January and June of each year and results in the April and September/October WEO publication. Selected series from the ...