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A Life-Cycle Model with Ambiguous Survival Beliefs
(2015-10-02)
Based on a cognitive notion of neo-additive capacities reflecting likelihood insensitivity with respect to survival chances, we construct a Choquet Bayesian learning model over the life-cycle that generates a motivational ...
Preference Evolution and the Dynamics of Capital Markets
(2016-05-13)
This paper introduces endogenous preference evolution into a Lucas-type economy and explores its consequences for investors' trading strategy and the dynamics of asset prices. In equilibrium, investors herd and hold the ...
The Impact of Biases in Survival Beliefs on Savings Behavior
(2017-03-24)
"On average young people ""undersave"" whereas old people ""oversave"" with respect to the rational expectations model of life-cycle consumption and savings. According to numerous studies on subjective survival beliefs, ...
Cognition, Optimism and the Formation of Age-Dependent Survival Beliefs
(2018-06-02)
This paper investigates the roles psychological biases play in deviations between subjective survival beliefs (SSBs) and objective survival probabilities (OSPs). We model deviations between SSBs and OSPs through age-dependent ...
Endogenous Retirement Behavior of Heterogeneous Households Under Pension Reforms
(2018-04-25)
We propose a unified framework to measure the effects of different reforms of the pension system on retirement ages and macroeconomic indicators in the face of demographic change. A rich overlapping generations (OLG) model ...
Asset Pricing in OLG Economies With Borrowing Constraints and Idiosyncratic Income Risk
(2018-09-17)
This paper analyzes how the combination of borrowing constraints and idiosyncratic risk affects the equity premium in an overlapping generations economy. I find that introducing a zero-borrowing constraint in an economy ...