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Bank and Sovereign Debt Risk Connection
(2013-01-01)
Euro area data show a positive connection between sovereign and bank risk, which increases with banks’ and sovereign long run fragility. We build a macro model with banks subject to moral hazard and liquidity risk (sudden ...
Mutual Excitation in Eurozone Sovereign CDS
(2014-05-01)
We study self- and cross-excitation of shocks in the Eurozone sovereign CDS market. We adopt a multivariate setting with credit default intensities driven by mutually exciting jump processes, to capture the salient features ...
Does Austerity Pay Off?
(2015-02-01)
We ask whether cuts of government consumption lower or raise the sovereign default premium. To address this question, we set up a new data set for 38 emerging and advanced economies which contains quarterly time-series ...