Auflistung LIF-SAFE Working Papers nach JEL-Klassifizierung "E32"
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A Quasi Real-Time Leading Indicator for the EU Industrial Production
(2016-01-04)We build a quasi real-time leading indicator (LI) for the EU industrial production (IP). Differently from previous studies, the technique developed in this paper gives rise to an ex-ante LI that is immune to “overlapping ... -
Higher-Order Income Risk over the Business Cycle: A Parametric Approach
(2020-03-24)We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher- order risk. We estimate our extended income process by ... -
Investment-Specific Shocks, Business Cycles, and Asset Prices
(2016-03-14)We introduce long-run investment productivity risk in a two-sector production economy to explain the joint behavior of macroeconomic quantities and asset prices. Long-run productivity risk in both sectors, for which we ... -
Risk Pooling, Leverage, and the Business Cycle
(2020-02-25)This paper studies the impact of financial sector size and leverage on business cycles and risk-free rates dynamics. We model a general equilibrium productive economy where financial intermediaries provide costly risk ... -
The Impact of Long-Run Macroeconomic Experiences on Personality
(2016-08-01)Using two datasets containing demographically representative samples of the Dutch population, I study how lifetime experiences of aggregate labor market conditions affect personality. Three sets of findings are reported. ... -
The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy
(2014-04-01)After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty ...