Auflistung LIF-SAFE Working Papers nach Forschungsbereich "Macro Finance"
Anzeige der Dokumente 41-60 von 67
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Mutual Excitation in Eurozone Sovereign CDS
(2014-05-01)We study self- and cross-excitation of shocks in the Eurozone sovereign CDS market. We adopt a multivariate setting with credit default intensities driven by mutually exciting jump processes, to capture the salient features ... -
On Deficits and Symmetries in a Fiscal Capacity
(2015-07-01)"There is a growing debate about complementing the European Monetary Union by a more comprehensive fiscal union. Against this background, this paper emphasizes that there is a trade-off in designing a system of fiscal ... -
On the Optimal Provision of Social Insurance
(2015-08-29)In this paper we compute the optimal tax and education policy transition in an economy where progressive taxes provide social insurance against idiosyncratic wage risk, but distort the education decision of households. ... -
Optimal Carbon Abatement in a Stochastic Equilibrium Model with Climate Change
(2018-09-24)This paper studies a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model involving climate change. Our framework allows for feedback effects on the temperature dynamics. We are able to match estimates of future temperature ... -
Optimal Policy and Taylor Rule Cross-Checking Under Parameter Uncertainty
(2013-09-26)We examine whether the robustifying nature of Taylor rule cross-checking under model uncertainty carries over to the case of parameter uncertainty. Adjusting monetary policy based on this kind of cross-checking can improve ... -
Optimal Taxes on Capital in the OLG Model with Uninsurable Idiosyncratic Income Risk
(2018-02-09)We characterize the optimal linear tax on capital in an Overlapping Generations model with two period lived households facing uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk. The Ramsey government internalizes the general ... -
Preference Evolution and the Dynamics of Capital Markets
(2016-05-13)This paper introduces endogenous preference evolution into a Lucas-type economy and explores its consequences for investors' trading strategy and the dynamics of asset prices. In equilibrium, investors herd and hold the ... -
Pro-rich Inflation in Europe: Implications for the Measurement of Inequality
(2018-05-17)This paper studies the distributional consequences of a systematic variation in expenditure shares and prices. Using European Union Household Budget Surveys and Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices data, we construct ... -
Revisiting the Narrative Approach of Estimating Tax Multipliers
(2015-03-01)"A number of recent studies regress a ""narratively"" identified measure of a macroeconomic shock directly on an outcome variable. In this note, we argue that this approach can be viewed as the reduced-form regression of ... -
Saving Europe?: The Unpleasant Arithmetic of Fiscal Austerity in Integrated Economies
(2014-12-12)Europe’s debt crisis casts doubt on the effectiveness of fiscal austerity in highly-integrated economies. Closed-economy models overestimate its effectiveness, because they underestimate tax-base elasticities and ignore ... -
Secular Stagnation? Growth, Asset Returns and Welfare in the Next Decades: First Results
(2016-09-08)Ongoing demographic change will lead to a relative scarcity of raw labor to the effect that output growth will be decreasing in the next decades, a secular stagnation. As physical capital will be relatively abundant, this ... -
Social Security in an Analytically Tractable Overlapping Generations Model with Aggregate and Idiosyncratic Risk
(2015-04-13)When markets are incomplete, social security can partially insure against idiosyncratic and aggregate risks. We incorporate both risks into an analytically tractable model with two overlapping generations. We derive the ... -
Systemic Risk in an Interconnected Banking System with Endogenous Asset Markets
(2014-03-30)We analyze the emergence of systemic risk in a network model of interconnected bank balance sheets. The model incorporates multiple sources of systemic risk, including size of financial institutions, direct exposure from ... -
The Impact of Biases in Survival Beliefs on Savings Behavior
(2017-03-24)"On average young people ""undersave"" whereas old people ""oversave"" with respect to the rational expectations model of life-cycle consumption and savings. According to numerous studies on subjective survival beliefs, ... -
The Impact of Monetary Policy Interventions on the Insurance Industry
(2018-03-01)This paper investigates the effect of the conventional and unconventional (e.g. Quantitative Easing - QE) monetary policy intervention on the insurance industry. We first analyze the impact on the stock performances of 166 ... -
The Long-Term Distributional and Welfare Effects of Covid-19 School Closures
(2020-09-21)Using a structural life-cycle model, we quantify the long-term impact of school closures during the Corona crisis on children affected at different ages and coming from households with different parental characteristics. ... -
The Macroeconomic Effects of Asset Purchases Revisited
(2018-02-13)This paper revisits the macroeconomic effects of the large-scale asset purchase programmes launched by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England from 2008. Using a Bayesian VAR, we investigate the macroeconomic impact ... -
The Output Effect of Fiscal Consolidation Plans
(2014-10-01)We show that the correct experiment to evaluate the effects of a fiscal adjustment is the simulation of a multi year fiscal plan rather than of individual fiscal shocks. Simulation of fiscal plans adopted by 16 OECD countries ... -
The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy
(2014-04-01)After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty ... -
Too Interconnected to Fail: A Survey of the Interbank Networks Literature
(2015-10-01)The banking system is highly interconnected and these connections can be conveniently represented as an interbank network. This survey presents a systematic overview of the recent advances in the theoretical literature on ...