Auflistung LIF-SAFE Working Papers nach Forschungsbereich "Systemic Risk Lab"
Anzeige der Dokumente 21-40 von 48
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Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe
(2015-04-01)This paper analyzes sovereign risk shift-contagion, i.e. positive and significant changes in the propagation mechanisms, using bond yield spreads for the major eurozone countries. By emphasizing the use of two econometric ... -
Monetary Policy Implementation in an Interbank Network: Effects on Systemic Risk
(2014-03-26)This paper makes a conceptual contribution to the effect of monetary policy on financial stability. We develop a microfounded network model with endogenous network formation to analyze the impact of central banks' monetary ... -
Much Ado About Nothing: A Study of Differential Pricing and Liquidity of Short and Long Term Bonds
(2018-11-01)Are yields of long-maturity bonds distorted by demand pressure of clientele investors, regulatory effects, or default, flight-to-safety or liquidity premiums? Using data on German nominal bonds between 2005 and 2015, we ... -
Mutual Excitation in Eurozone Sovereign CDS
(2014-05-01)We study self- and cross-excitation of shocks in the Eurozone sovereign CDS market. We adopt a multivariate setting with credit default intensities driven by mutually exciting jump processes, to capture the salient features ... -
Natural Disaster and Bank Stability: Evidence from the U.S. Financial System
(2018-04-01)We show that property damages from weather-related natural disasters significantly weaken the stability of banks with business activities in affected regions, as reflected in lower z-scores, higher probabilities of default, ... -
Networks in Risk Spillovers: A Multivariate GARCH Perspective
(2018-08-01)We propose a spatiotemporal approach for modeling risk spillovers using time-varying proximity matrices based on observable financial networks and introduce a new bilateral specification. We study covariance stationarity ... -
Optimal Carbon Abatement in a Stochastic Equilibrium Model with Climate Change
(2018-09-24)This paper studies a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model involving climate change. Our framework allows for feedback effects on the temperature dynamics. We are able to match estimates of future temperature ... -
OTC Discount
(2020-12-08)We document a sizable OTC discount in the interdealer market for German sovereign bonds where exchange and over-the-counter trading coexist: the vast majority of OTC prices are favorable with respect to exchange quotes. ... -
OTC Discount
(2021-10-08)We document a sizable OTC discount in the interdealer market for German sovereign bonds where exchange and over-the-counter trading coexist: the vast majority of OTC prices are favorable compared to exchange quotes. This ... -
Partial Information about Contagion Risk, Self-Exciting Processes and Portfolio Optimization
(2013-04-18)This paper compares two classes of models that allow for additional channels of correlation between asset returns: regime switching models with jumps and models with contagious jumps. Both classes of models involve a hidden ... -
Portfolio Similarity and Asset Liquidation in the Insurance Industry
(2018-07-30)An important assumption underlying the designation of some insurers as systemically important is that their overlapping portfolio holdings can result in common selling. We measure the overlap in holdings using cosine ... -
Sovereign Credit Risk, Liquidity, and ECB Intervention: Deus Ex Machina?
(2016-11-18)We examine the dynamic relation between credit risk and liquidity in the Italian sovereign bond market during the Euro-zone crisis and the subsequent European Central Bank (ECB) interventions. Credit risk drives the liquidity ... -
Spillover Effects among Financial Institutions: A State-Dependent Sensitivity Value-at-Risk Approach
(2012-09-01)In this paper, we develop a state-dependent sensitivity value-at-risk (SDSVaR) approach that enables us to quantify the direction, size, and duration of risk spillovers among financial institutions as a function of the ... -
Spoilt for Choice: Order Routing Decisions in Fragmented Equity Markets
(2016-08-01)The equity trading landscape all over the world has changed dramatically in recent years. We have witnessed the advent of new trading venues and significant changes in the market shares of existing ones. We use an extensive ... -
Stock Price Crashes: Role of Slow-Moving Capital
(2018-07-16)We study the role of various trader types in providing liquidity in spot and futures markets based on complete order-book and transactions data as well as cross-market trader identifiers from the National Stock Exchange ... -
Systemic Co-Jumps
(2016-10-10)The simultaneous occurrence of jumps in several stocks can be associated with major financial news, triggers short-term predictability in stock returns, is correlated with sudden spikes of the variance risk premium, and ... -
Systemic Risk and Sovereign Debt in the Euro Area
(2013-12-13)We introduce a new measure of systemic risk, the change in the conditional joint probability of default, which assesses the effects of the interdependence in the financial system on the general default risk of sovereign ... -
Systemic risk for financial institutions of major petroleum-based economies: The role of oil
(2017-11-05)This paper examines the relationship between oil price movements and systemic risk of many financial institutions in major petroleum-based economies. We estimate ?CoVaR for those institutions and thereby observe the presence ... -
Systemic Risk in an Interconnected Banking System with Endogenous Asset Markets
(2014-03-30)We analyze the emergence of systemic risk in a network model of interconnected bank balance sheets. The model incorporates multiple sources of systemic risk, including size of financial institutions, direct exposure from ... -
Systemic Risk in the Financial Sector: What Can We Learn from Option Markets?
(2014-12-14)We propose a novel approach on how to estimate systemic risk and identify its key determinants. For US financial companies with publicly traded equity options, we extract option-implied value-at-risks and measure the ...