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Informal Sector and Economic Development: The Credit Supply Channel
(2015-05-01)
The standard view suggests that removing barriers to entry and improving judicial enforcement reduces informality and boosts investment and growth. However, a general equilibrium approach shows that this conclusion may ...
Can Firms see into the Future? Survey evidence from Germany
(2017-11-03)
This paper presents new evidence on the expectation formation process of firms from a survey of the German manufacturing sector. It focuses on the expectation about their future business conditions, which enters the widely ...
Mental Accounting in a Business Cycle Model
(2018-12-17)
Motivated by the consumer behavior literature, this paper presents a new business cycle model in which consumers incur a pain of paying and neglect the opportunity costs of consumption. Although consumers maximize their ...
Can Households See into the Future? Survey Evidence from the Netherlands
(2018-07-14)
This paper presents new evidence on the expectation formation process from a Dutch household survey. Households become too optimistic about their future income after their income has improved, consistent with the ...