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Austerity, Fiscal Uncertainty, and Economic Growth: Insights from Fiscally Weak EU Countries
(2014-08-08)
Recent empirical evidence suggests that during the last years fiscally weak European countries significantly cut their R&D budgets in an effort to reduce their deficit, according to the spirit of the Fiscal Compact. We ...
A Quasi Real-Time Leading Indicator for the EU Industrial Production
(2016-01-04)
We build a quasi real-time leading indicator (LI) for the EU industrial production (IP). Differently from previous studies, the technique developed in this paper gives rise to an ex-ante LI that is immune to “overlapping ...
Global Temperature, R&D Expenditure, and Growth
(2017-11-15)
We shed new light on the macroeconomic effects of rising temperatures. In the data, a shock to global temperature dampens expenditures in research and development (R&D). We rationalize this empirical evidence within a ...