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A Quasi Real-Time Leading Indicator for the EU Industrial Production
(2016-01-04)
We build a quasi real-time leading indicator (LI) for the EU industrial production (IP). Differently from previous studies, the technique developed in this paper gives rise to an ex-ante LI that is immune to “overlapping ...
The Intended and Unintended Consequences of Financial-Market Regulations: A General Equilibrium Analysis
(2016-01-25)
In a production economy with trade in financial markets motivated by the desire to share labor-income risk and to speculate, we show that speculation increases volatility of asset returns and investment growth, increases ...
Leaning Against the Wind: Debt Financing in the Face of Adversity
(2016-12-29)
We offer evidence of a new stylized feature of corporate financing decisions: the tendency of managers to rely more on debt financing when earnings prospects are poor. We term this 'leaning against the wind' and consider ...
Spoilt for Choice: Order Routing Decisions in Fragmented Equity Markets
(2016-08-01)
The equity trading landscape all over the world has changed dramatically in recent years. We have witnessed the advent of new trading venues and significant changes in the market shares of existing ones. We use an extensive ...
Systemic Co-Jumps
(2016-10-10)
The simultaneous occurrence of jumps in several stocks can be associated with major financial news, triggers short-term predictability in stock returns, is correlated with sudden spikes of the variance risk premium, and ...
Globally Dangerous Diseases: Bad News for Main Street, Good News for Wall Street?
(2016-12-12)
This paper examines whether investor mood, driven by World Health Organization (WHO) alerts and media news on globally dangerous diseases, is priced in pharmaceutical companies' stocks in the United States. We concentrate ...
The Impact of Network Connectivity on Factor Exposures, Asset Pricing and Portfolio Diversification
(2016-10-01)
We show that property damages from weather-related natural disasters significantly weaken the stability of banks with business activities in affected regions, as reflected in lower z-scores, higher probabilities of default, ...