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The Dynamics of Crises and the Equity Premium
(2015-05-18)
It is a major challenge for asset pricing models to generate a high equity premium and a low risk-free rate while imposing realistic consumption dynamics. To address this issue, our paper proposes a novel pricing channel: ...
Trust in the Monetary Authority
(2013-07-01)
Trust in policy makers fluctuates significantly over the cycle and affects the transmission mechanism. Despite this it is absent from the literature. We build a monetary model embedding trust cycles; the latter emerge as ...
Stochastic Differential Utility as the Continuous-Time Limit of Recursive Utility
(2013-05-10)
We establish a convergence theorem that shows that discrete-time recursive utility, as developed by Kreps and Porteus (1978), converges to stochastic differential utility, as introduced by Duffie and Epstein (1992), in the ...
Asset Pricing Under Uncertainty About Shock Propagation
(2014-03-25)
We analyze the equilibrium in a two-tree (sector) economy with two regimes. The output of each tree is driven by a jump-diffusion process, and a downward jump in one sector of the economy can (but need not) trigger a shift ...
Austerity, Fiscal Uncertainty, and Economic Growth: Insights from Fiscally Weak EU Countries
(2014-08-08)
Recent empirical evidence suggests that during the last years fiscally weak European countries significantly cut their R&D budgets in an effort to reduce their deficit, according to the spirit of the Fiscal Compact. We ...
Saving Europe?: The Unpleasant Arithmetic of Fiscal Austerity in Integrated Economies
(2014-12-12)
Europe’s debt crisis casts doubt on the effectiveness of fiscal austerity in highly-integrated economies. Closed-economy models overestimate its effectiveness, because they underestimate tax-base elasticities and ignore ...
International Endogenous Growth, Macro Anomalies, and Asset Prices
(2016-07-20)
"This paper studies a two-country production economy with complete and frictionless financial markets and international trade in which competition in R&D leads to endogenous new firm creation and economic growth. Current ...
Optimal Carbon Abatement in a Stochastic Equilibrium Model with Climate Change
(2018-09-24)
This paper studies a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model involving climate change. Our framework allows for feedback effects on the temperature dynamics. We are able to match estimates of future temperature ...
"Nobody is Perfect": Asset Pricing and Long-Run Survival When Heterogeneous Investors Exhibit Different Kinds of Filtering Errors
(2015-07-31)
In this paper we analyze an economy with two heterogeneous investors who both exhibit misspecified filtering models for the unobservable expected growth rate of the aggregated dividend. A key result of our analysis with ...
The Intended and Unintended Consequences of Financial-Market Regulations: A General Equilibrium Analysis
(2016-01-25)
In a production economy with trade in financial markets motivated by the desire to share labor-income risk and to speculate, we show that speculation increases volatility of asset returns and investment growth, increases ...