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Biases in Information Selection and Processing: Survey Evidence from the Pandemic
(2021-02-10)
How people form beliefs is crucial for understanding decision-making un- der uncertainty. This is particularly true in a situation such as a pandemic, where beliefs will affect behaviors that impact public health as well ...
Smart (Phone) Investing? A Within Investor-Time Analysis of New Technologies and Trading Behavior
(2021-02-02)
Using transaction-level data from two German banks, we study the effects of smartphones on investor behavior. Comparing trades by the same investor in the same month across different platforms, we find that smartphones ...
The Disposition Effect in Boom and Bust Markets
(2021-02-05)
The disposition effect is implicitly assumed to be constant over time. However, drivers of the disposition effect (preferences and beliefs) are rather countercyclical. We use individual investor trading data covering several ...
Separating the Effects of Beliefs and Attitudes on Pricing under Ambiguity
(2021-03-10)
The pricing of an ambiguous asset, whose cash flow stream is uncertain, may be affected by three factors: the belief regarding the realization likelihood of cash flows, the subjective attitude towards risk, and the attitude ...
Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: Machine Predictions and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies
(2021-04-20)
We show that disclosing machine predictions to affected parties can trigger self-fulfilling prophecies. In an investment game, we experimentally vary investors’ and recipients’ access to a machine prediction about recipients’ ...
Expl(AI)ned: The impact of explainable artificial intelligence on cognitive processes
(2021-06-25)
This paper explores the interplay of feature-based explainable AI (XAI) techniques, information processing, and human beliefs. Using a novel experimental protocol, we study the impact of providing users with explanations ...
Incentives, self-selection, and coordination of motivated agents for the production of social goods
(2021-07-24)
We study, theoretically and empirically, the effects of incentives on the self-selection and coordination of motivated agents to produce a social good. Agents join teams where they allocate effort to either generate ...