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Partial Information about Contagion Risk, Self-Exciting Processes and Portfolio Optimization
(2013-04-18)
This paper compares two classes of models that allow for additional channels of correlation between asset returns: regime switching models with jumps and models with contagious jumps. Both classes of models involve a hidden ...
Systemic Risk and Sovereign Debt in the Euro Area
(2013-12-13)
We introduce a new measure of systemic risk, the change in the conditional joint probability of default, which assesses the effects of the interdependence in the financial system on the general default risk of sovereign ...
Input-Output-Based Measures of Systemic Importance
(2013-08-01)
The analyses of intersectoral linkages of Leontief (1941) and Hirschman (1958) provide a natural way to study the transmission of risk among interconnected banks and to measure their systemic importance. In this paper we ...