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Endogenous Banks’ Networks, Cascades and Systemic Risk
(2014-06-01)
We develop a network model whose links are governed by banks' optmizing decisions and by an endogenous tâtonnement market adjustment. Banks in our model can default and engage in re-sales: risk is transmitted through direct ...
Trust in Government and Fiscal Adjustments
(2013-06-04)
The paper looks at the determinants of fiscal adjustments as reflected in the primary surplus of countries. Our conjecture is that governments will usually find it more attractive to pursue fiscal adjustments in a situation ...
Trust Me! I am a European Central Banker
(2012-06-01)
In the aftermath of the financial crisis, the ECB has experienced an unprecedented deterioration in the level of trust. This raises the question as to what factors determine trust in central banking. We use a unique ...
Input-Output-Based Measures of Systemic Importance
(2013-08-01)
The analyses of intersectoral linkages of Leontief (1941) and Hirschman (1958) provide a natural way to study the transmission of risk among interconnected banks and to measure their systemic importance. In this paper we ...
Game-Theoretic Foundations of Monetary Equilibrium
(2013-09-30)
Monetary theorists have advanced an intriguing notion: we exchange money to make up for a lack of enforcement, when it is difficult to monitor and sanction opportunistic behaviors. We demonstrate that, in fact, monetary ...
Optimal Policy and Taylor Rule Cross-Checking Under Parameter Uncertainty
(2013-09-26)
We examine whether the robustifying nature of Taylor rule cross-checking under model uncertainty carries over to the case of parameter uncertainty. Adjusting monetary policy based on this kind of cross-checking can improve ...
Systemic Risk in an Interconnected Banking System with Endogenous Asset Markets
(2014-03-30)
We analyze the emergence of systemic risk in a network model of interconnected bank balance sheets. The model incorporates multiple sources of systemic risk, including size of financial institutions, direct exposure from ...
Vertical Fiscal Imbalances and the Accumulation of Government Debt
(2014-07-01)
"The implications of delegating fiscal decision making power to sub-national governments has become an area of significant interest over the past two decades, in the expectation that these reforms will lead to better and ...
Does Austerity Pay Off?
(2015-02-01)
We ask whether cuts of government consumption lower or raise the sovereign default premium. To address this question, we set up a new data set for 38 emerging and advanced economies which contains quarterly time-series ...
Cross-Border Resolution of Global Banks
(2015-03-01)
Most recent regulations establish that resolution of global banking groups shall be done according to bail-in procedures and following a Single Point of Entry (SPE) as opposed to a Multiple Point of Entry (MPE) approach. ...