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Austerity, Fiscal Uncertainty, and Economic Growth: Insights from Fiscally Weak EU Countries
(2014-08-08)
Recent empirical evidence suggests that during the last years fiscally weak European countries significantly cut their R&D budgets in an effort to reduce their deficit, according to the spirit of the Fiscal Compact. We ...
The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy
(2014-04-01)
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty ...
Saving Europe?: The Unpleasant Arithmetic of Fiscal Austerity in Integrated Economies
(2014-12-12)
Europe’s debt crisis casts doubt on the effectiveness of fiscal austerity in highly-integrated economies. Closed-economy models overestimate its effectiveness, because they underestimate tax-base elasticities and ignore ...
The Output Effect of Fiscal Consolidation Plans
(2014-10-01)
We show that the correct experiment to evaluate the effects of a fiscal adjustment is the simulation of a multi year fiscal plan rather than of individual fiscal shocks. Simulation of fiscal plans adopted by 16 OECD countries ...