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A Quasi Real-Time Leading Indicator for the EU Industrial Production
(2016-01-04)
We build a quasi real-time leading indicator (LI) for the EU industrial production (IP). Differently from previous studies, the technique developed in this paper gives rise to an ex-ante LI that is immune to “overlapping ...
Investment-Specific Shocks, Business Cycles, and Asset Prices
(2016-03-14)
We introduce long-run investment productivity risk in a two-sector production economy to explain the joint behavior of macroeconomic quantities and asset prices. Long-run productivity risk in both sectors, for which we ...