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Endogenous Banks’ Networks, Cascades and Systemic Risk
(2014-06-01)
We develop a network model whose links are governed by banks' optmizing decisions and by an endogenous tâtonnement market adjustment. Banks in our model can default and engage in re-sales: risk is transmitted through direct ...
Systemic Risk in the Financial Sector: What Can We Learn from Option Markets?
(2014-12-14)
We propose a novel approach on how to estimate systemic risk and identify its key determinants. For US financial companies with publicly traded equity options, we extract option-implied value-at-risks and measure the ...
How do insured deposits affect bank risk? Evidence from the 2008 Emergency Economic Stabilization Act
(2014-10-01)
This paper tests whether an increase in insured deposits causes banks to become more risky. We use variation introduced by the U.S. Emergency Economic Stabilization Act in October 2008, which increased the deposit insurance ...
Monetary Policy Implementation in an Interbank Network: Effects on Systemic Risk
(2014-03-26)
This paper makes a conceptual contribution to the effect of monetary policy on financial stability. We develop a microfounded network model with endogenous network formation to analyze the impact of central banks' monetary ...
Liquidity Coinsurance and Bank Capital
(2014-03-01)
Banks can deal with their liquidity risk by holding liquid assets (self-insurance), by participating in interbank markets (coinsurance), or by using flexible financing instruments, such as bank capital (risk-sharing). We ...
Systemic Risk in an Interconnected Banking System with Endogenous Asset Markets
(2014-03-30)
We analyze the emergence of systemic risk in a network model of interconnected bank balance sheets. The model incorporates multiple sources of systemic risk, including size of financial institutions, direct exposure from ...
Exit Strategies
(2014-04-01)
We study alternative scenarios for exiting the post-crisis fiscal and monetary accommodation using a macromodel where banks choose their capital structure and are subject to runs. Under a Taylor rule, the post-crisis ...
Financial Regulation in the EU – Cross-Border Capital Flows, Systemic Risk and the European Banking Union as Reference Points for EU Financial Market Integration
(2014-06-01)
This is a chapter for a forthcoming volume Oxford Handbook of Financial Regulation (Oxford University Press 2014) (eds. Eilís Ferran, Niamh Moloney, and Jennifer Payne). It provides an overview of EU financial regulation ...
Assessing Systemic Fragility – a Probabilistic Perspective
(2014-10-01)
We outline a procedure for consistent estimation of marginal and joint default risk in the euro area financial system. We interpret the latter risk as the intrinsic financial system fragility and derive several systemic ...
The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy
(2014-04-01)
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty ...