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A Modern Take on Market Efficiency: The Impact of Trump’s Tweets on Financial Markets
(2021-05-06)
We focus on the role of social media as a high-frequency, unfiltered mass information transmission channel and how its use for government communication affects the aggregate stock markets. To measure this effect, we ...
Volatility, Valuation Ratios, and Bubbles: An Empirical Measure of Market Sentiment
(2021-03-24)
We define a sentiment indicator that exploits two contrasting views of return predictability, and study its properties. The indicator, which is based on option prices, valuation ratios and interest rates, was unusually ...
Market impact of government communication: The case of presidential tweets
(2021-10-06)
"We propose the ""President reacts to news"" channel of stock returns by studying the financial market impact of the Twitter account of the 45th president of the United States, Donald Trump. We use machine learning algorithms ...