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Option-Implied Information and Predictability of Extreme Returns
(2013-01-28)
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market ...
A Quasi Real-Time Leading Indicator for the EU Industrial Production
(2016-01-04)
We build a quasi real-time leading indicator (LI) for the EU industrial production (IP). Differently from previous studies, the technique developed in this paper gives rise to an ex-ante LI that is immune to “overlapping ...
Globally Dangerous Diseases: Bad News for Main Street, Good News for Wall Street?
(2016-12-12)
This paper examines whether investor mood, driven by World Health Organization (WHO) alerts and media news on globally dangerous diseases, is priced in pharmaceutical companies' stocks in the United States. We concentrate ...
Which Market Integration Measure?
(2017-08-04)
This paper compares the dynamics of the financial integration process as described by different empirical approaches. To this end, a wide range of measures accounting for several dimensions of integration is employed. In ...
Systemic risk for financial institutions of major petroleum-based economies: The role of oil
(2017-11-05)
This paper examines the relationship between oil price movements and systemic risk of many financial institutions in major petroleum-based economies. We estimate ?CoVaR for those institutions and thereby observe the presence ...
Much Ado About Nothing: A Study of Differential Pricing and Liquidity of Short and Long Term Bonds
(2018-11-01)
Are yields of long-maturity bonds distorted by demand pressure of clientele investors, regulatory effects, or default, flight-to-safety or liquidity premiums? Using data on German nominal bonds between 2005 and 2015, we ...
Quasi-Dark Trading: The Effects of Banning Dark Pools in a World of Many Alternatives
(2019-04-30)
We show that “quasi-dark” trading venues, i.e., markets with somewhat non-transparent trading mechanisms, are important parts of modern equity market structure alongside lit markets and dark pools. Using the European MiFID ...
Does Monetary Policy Impact International Market Co-Movements?
(2020-05-11)
We show that FED policy announcements lead to a significant increase in international comovements in the cross-section of equity and in particular sovereign CDS markets. The relaxation of unconventionary monetary policies ...
Inside the ESG Ratings: (Dis)agreement and Performance
(2020-07-31)
We analyze the ESG rating criteria used by prominent agencies and show that there is a lack of a commonality in the definition of ESG (i) characteristics, (ii) attributes and (iii) standards in defining E, S and G components. ...
Global Realignment in Financial Market Dynamics: Evidence from ETF Networks
(2021-02-04)
The centrality of the United States in the global financial system is taken for granted, but its response to recent political and epidemiological events has suggested that China now holds a comparable position. Using ...