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Cognition, Optimism and the Formation of Age-Dependent Survival Beliefs
(2018-06-02)
This paper investigates the roles psychological biases play in deviations between subjective survival beliefs (SSBs) and objective survival probabilities (OSPs). We model deviations between SSBs and OSPs through age-dependent ...
Evaluating the Effectiveness of Policies Against a Pandemic
(2020-11-12)
We develop a novel empirical approach to identify the effectiveness of policies against a pandemic. The essence of our approach is the insight that epidemic dynamics are best tracked over stages, rather than over time. We ...