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A Life-Cycle Model with Ambiguous Survival Beliefs
(2015-10-02)
Based on a cognitive notion of neo-additive capacities reflecting likelihood insensitivity with respect to survival chances, we construct a Choquet Bayesian learning model over the life-cycle that generates a motivational ...
Peer Effects and Risk Sharing in Experimental Asset Markets
(2015-02-02)
Previous research has documented strong peer effects in risk taking, but little is known about how such social influences affect market outcomes. Since the consequences of social interactions are hard to isolate in financial ...
The Impact of Biases in Survival Beliefs on Savings Behavior
(2017-03-24)
"On average young people ""undersave"" whereas old people ""oversave"" with respect to the rational expectations model of life-cycle consumption and savings. According to numerous studies on subjective survival beliefs, ...
Cognition, Optimism and the Formation of Age-Dependent Survival Beliefs
(2018-06-02)
This paper investigates the roles psychological biases play in deviations between subjective survival beliefs (SSBs) and objective survival probabilities (OSPs). We model deviations between SSBs and OSPs through age-dependent ...
Belief Formation and Belief Updating under Ambiguity: Evidence from Experiments
(2019-09-21)
Decisions under ambiguity depend on both the belief regarding possible scenarios and the attitude towards ambiguity. This paper exclusively focuses on beliefs, measured independent from attitudes. We use laboratory experiments ...
Separating the Effects of Beliefs and Attitudes on Pricing under Ambiguity
(2021-03-10)
The pricing of an ambiguous asset, whose cash flow stream is uncertain, may be affected by three factors: the belief regarding the realization likelihood of cash flows, the subjective attitude towards risk, and the attitude ...
HRS
The University of Michigan Health and Retirement Study (HRS) is a longitudinal panel study that surveys a representative sample of approximately 20,000 people in America, supported by the National Institute on Aging (NIA ...
FLEX311_LW_2021
In the experiments, the ambiguous environment is operationalized by an urn. Subjects participating in the experiments are told that the urn contains in total 100 balls, and that each ball is either a white ball or a black ...
FLEX
FLEX – the Frankfurt Laboratory for Experimental Economic Research is a research center at the Faculty of Economics and Business at Goethe University in Frankfurt.
HMD
The Human Mortality Database (HMD) contains original calculations of death rates and life tables for national populations (countries or areas), as well as the input data used in constructing those tables. The input data ...