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The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy
(2014-04-01)
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty ...
A Quasi Real-Time Leading Indicator for the EU Industrial Production
(2016-01-04)
We build a quasi real-time leading indicator (LI) for the EU industrial production (IP). Differently from previous studies, the technique developed in this paper gives rise to an ex-ante LI that is immune to “overlapping ...
Investment-Specific Shocks, Business Cycles, and Asset Prices
(2016-03-14)
We introduce long-run investment productivity risk in a two-sector production economy to explain the joint behavior of macroeconomic quantities and asset prices. Long-run productivity risk in both sectors, for which we ...
The Impact of Long-Run Macroeconomic Experiences on Personality
(2016-08-01)
Using two datasets containing demographically representative samples of the Dutch population, I study how lifetime experiences of aggregate labor market conditions affect personality. Three sets of findings are reported. ...
Risk Pooling, Leverage, and the Business Cycle
(2020-02-25)
This paper studies the impact of financial sector size and leverage on business cycles and risk-free rates dynamics. We model a general equilibrium productive economy where financial intermediaries provide costly risk ...
Higher-Order Income Risk over the Business Cycle: A Parametric Approach
(2020-03-24)
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher- order risk. We estimate our extended income process by ...
FRED
Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) is a database maintained by the Research division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louisthat has more than 500,000 economic time series from 87 sources. The data can be viewed in ...
DHS
The DNB Household Survey (DHS) offers a unique collection of data that allows the study of both psychological and economic aspects of financial behavior; a panel study among 2000 households that has been active since 1993. ...
PSID
The Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) is the longest running longitudinal household survey in the world. The study began in 1968 with a nationally representative sample of over 18,000 individuals living in 5,000 families ...
OECD
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) is an international organisation that works to build better policies for better lives. Our goal is to shape policies that foster prosperity, equality, ...