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Credit Cycles: Experimental Evidence
(2016-06-23)
This paper reports that credit cycles emerged in laboratory economies that were not hit by aggregate shocks and in which information about fundamentals was perfect. This main result is in our view puzzling because standard ...
Informal Sector and Economic Development: The Credit Supply Channel
(2015-05-01)
The standard view suggests that removing barriers to entry and improving judicial enforcement reduces informality and boosts investment and growth. However, a general equilibrium approach shows that this conclusion may ...
Can Firms see into the Future? Survey evidence from Germany
(2017-11-03)
This paper presents new evidence on the expectation formation process of firms from a survey of the German manufacturing sector. It focuses on the expectation about their future business conditions, which enters the widely ...
Mental Accounting in a Business Cycle Model
(2018-12-17)
Motivated by the consumer behavior literature, this paper presents a new business cycle model in which consumers incur a pain of paying and neglect the opportunity costs of consumption. Although consumers maximize their ...
Macroprudential Policy in the Lab
(2018-12-20)
Higher capital ratios are believed to improve system-wide financial stability through three main channels: (i) higher loss-absorption capacity, (ii) lower moral hazard, (iii) stabilization of the financial cycle if capital ...
Can Households See into the Future? Survey Evidence from the Netherlands
(2018-07-14)
This paper presents new evidence on the expectation formation process from a Dutch household survey. Households become too optimistic about their future income after their income has improved, consistent with the ...