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The Dynamics of Crises and the Equity Premium
(2015-05-18)
It is a major challenge for asset pricing models to generate a high equity premium and a low risk-free rate while imposing realistic consumption dynamics. To address this issue, our paper proposes a novel pricing channel: ...
Partial Information about Contagion Risk, Self-Exciting Processes and Portfolio Optimization
(2013-04-18)
This paper compares two classes of models that allow for additional channels of correlation between asset returns: regime switching models with jumps and models with contagious jumps. Both classes of models involve a hidden ...
Mutual Excitation in Eurozone Sovereign CDS
(2014-05-01)
We study self- and cross-excitation of shocks in the Eurozone sovereign CDS market. We adopt a multivariate setting with credit default intensities driven by mutually exciting jump processes, to capture the salient features ...
Equilibrium Asset Pricing in Directed Networks
(2018-10-16)
Directed links in cash flow networks affect the cross-section of price exposures and market prices of risk in equilibrium. In an asset pricing model featuring mutually exciting jumps, we measure directedness through an ...
Sovereign Credit Risk, Liquidity, and ECB Intervention: Deus Ex Machina?
(2016-11-18)
We examine the dynamic relation between credit risk and liquidity in the Italian sovereign bond market during the Euro-zone crisis and the subsequent European Central Bank (ECB) interventions. Credit risk drives the liquidity ...
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe
(2015-04-01)
This paper analyzes sovereign risk shift-contagion, i.e. positive and significant changes in the propagation mechanisms, using bond yield spreads for the major eurozone countries. By emphasizing the use of two econometric ...
Spoilt for Choice: Order Routing Decisions in Fragmented Equity Markets
(2016-08-01)
The equity trading landscape all over the world has changed dramatically in recent years. We have witnessed the advent of new trading venues and significant changes in the market shares of existing ones. We use an extensive ...
How Has Sovereign Bond Market Liquidity Changed? - An Illiquidity Spillover Analysis
(2016-09-28)
Amid increasing regulation, structural changes of the market and Quantitative Easing as well as extremely low yields, concerns about the market liquidity of the Eurozone sovereign debt markets have been raised. We aim to ...
Systemic Co-Jumps
(2016-10-10)
The simultaneous occurrence of jumps in several stocks can be associated with major financial news, triggers short-term predictability in stock returns, is correlated with sudden spikes of the variance risk premium, and ...
The Impact of Network Connectivity on Factor Exposures, Asset Pricing and Portfolio Diversification
(2016-10-01)
We show that property damages from weather-related natural disasters significantly weaken the stability of banks with business activities in affected regions, as reflected in lower z-scores, higher probabilities of default, ...