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Systemic Risk and Sovereign Debt in the Euro Area
(2013-12-13)
We introduce a new measure of systemic risk, the change in the conditional joint probability of default, which assesses the effects of the interdependence in the financial system on the general default risk of sovereign ...
Assessing Systemic Fragility – a Probabilistic Perspective
(2014-10-01)
We outline a procedure for consistent estimation of marginal and joint default risk in the euro area financial system. We interpret the latter risk as the intrinsic financial system fragility and derive several systemic ...
Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe
(2015-04-01)
This paper analyzes sovereign risk shift-contagion, i.e. positive and significant changes in the propagation mechanisms, using bond yield spreads for the major eurozone countries. By emphasizing the use of two econometric ...
How Has Sovereign Bond Market Liquidity Changed? - An Illiquidity Spillover Analysis
(2016-09-28)
Amid increasing regulation, structural changes of the market and Quantitative Easing as well as extremely low yields, concerns about the market liquidity of the Eurozone sovereign debt markets have been raised. We aim to ...
The Demand for Central Clearing: To Clear or Not to Clear, That is the Question
(2018-06-15)
This paper is a first attempt at empirically analyzing whether post-crisis regulatory reforms developed by global-standard-setting bodies have created appropriate incentives to centrally clear Over-The-Counter (OTC) ...
Financial Bridges and Network Communities
(2018-09-29)
We analyze the global financial crisis and the European sovereign debt crisis showing that the European network exhibits a strong community structure with two main blocks acting as shock spreader and receiver, respectively. ...
Portfolio Similarity and Asset Liquidation in the Insurance Industry
(2018-07-30)
An important assumption underlying the designation of some insurers as systemically important is that their overlapping portfolio holdings can result in common selling. We measure the overlap in holdings using cosine ...
Networks in Risk Spillovers: A Multivariate GARCH Perspective
(2018-08-01)
We propose a spatiotemporal approach for modeling risk spillovers using time-varying proximity matrices based on observable financial networks and introduce a new bilateral specification. We study covariance stationarity ...
The Pitfalls of Central Clearing in the Presence of Systematic Risk
(2018-11-08)
Asset transaction prices sampled at high frequency are much staler than one might expect in the sense that they frequently lack new updates showing zero returns. In this paper, we propose a theoretical framework for ...
The Anatomy of the Euro Area Interest Rate Swap Market
(2019-06-01)
"Using a novel regulatory dataset of fully identified derivatives transactions, this paper provides the first comprehensive analysis of the structure of the euro area interest rate swap (IRS) market after the start of the ...