• A Quasi Real-Time Leading Indicator for the EU Industrial Production 

      Donadelli, Michael; Paradiso, Antonio; Riedel, Max (2016-01-04)
      We build a quasi real-time leading indicator (LI) for the EU industrial production (IP). Differently from previous studies, the technique developed in this paper gives rise to an ex-ante LI that is immune to “overlapping ...
    • Austerity, Fiscal Uncertainty, and Economic Growth: Insights from Fiscally Weak EU Countries 

      Curatola, Giuliano; Donadelli, Michael; Gioffré, Alessandro; Grüning, Patrick (2014-08-08)
      Recent empirical evidence suggests that during the last years fiscally weak European countries significantly cut their R&D budgets in an effort to reduce their deficit, according to the spirit of the Fiscal Compact. We ...
    • Global Temperature, R&D Expenditure, and Growth 

      Donadelli, Michael; Grüning, Patrick; Jüppner, Marcus; Kizys, Renatas (2017-11-15)
      We shed new light on the macroeconomic effects of rising temperatures. In the data, a shock to global temperature dampens expenditures in research and development (R&D). We rationalize this empirical evidence within a ...
    • Globally Dangerous Diseases: Bad News for Main Street, Good News for Wall Street? 

      Donadelli, Michael; Kizys, Renatas; Riedel, Max (2016-12-12)
      This paper examines whether investor mood, driven by World Health Organization (WHO) alerts and media news on globally dangerous diseases, is priced in pharmaceutical companies' stocks in the United States. We concentrate ...
    • Innovation Dynamics and Fiscal Policy: Implications for Growth, Asset Prices, and Welfare 

      Donadelli, Michael; Grüning, Patrick (2017-04-13)
      "We study the general equilibrium implications of different fiscal policies on macroeconomic quantities, asset prices, and welfare by utilizing two endogenous growth models. The expanding variety model features only ...
    • Investment-Specific Shocks, Business Cycles, and Asset Prices 

      Curatola, Giuliano; Donadelli, Michael; Grüning, Patrick; Meinerding, Christoph (2016-03-14)
      We introduce long-run investment productivity risk in a two-sector production economy to explain the joint behavior of macroeconomic quantities and asset prices. Long-run productivity risk in both sectors, for which we ...
    • Technology Trade with Asymmetric Tax Regimes and Heterogeneous Labor Markets: Implications for Macro Quantities and Asset Prices 

      Curatola, Giuliano; Donadelli, Michael; Grüning, Patrick (2017-10-05)
      The international diffusion of technology plays a key role in stimulating global growth and explaining co-movements of international equity returns. Existing empirical evidence suggests that countries are heterogeneous in ...
    • Temperature Shocks and Welfare Costs 

      Donadelli, Michael; Jüppner, Marcus; Riedel, Max; Schlag, Christian (2018-01-22)
      This paper examines the welfare implications of rising temperatures. Using a standard VAR, we empirically show that a temperature shock has a sizable, negative and statistically significant impact on TFP, output, and labor ...
    • Which Market Integration Measure? 

      Billio, Monica; Donadelli, Michael; Paradiso, Antonio; Riedel, Max (2017-08-04)
      This paper compares the dynamics of the financial integration process as described by different empirical approaches. To this end, a wide range of measures accounting for several dimensions of integration is employed. In ...